ONDO 2020: A Microscopic Political Analysis

By Pounah Denis

The political battle to occupy the Alagbaka Government House in February 2021 is becoming tougher and interesting by the day.

Political gladiators are burning their night candles with various political strategies.

It is no longer news as it is visible to the blind and audible to the deaf that the incumbent Deputy Governor of the state, Hon. Agboola Ajayi is trying very hard to unseat his Principal, Arakunrin Oluwarotimi Akeredolu.

Hon. Ajayi a grassroots politician from the oil rich, Ese-Odo Local Government rose from Supervisor for works in 1999-2003 under the Chairmanship of late Dr. F.K. Ajih, the first Executive Chairman of the council area.

Agbo as he is popularly called became a member of the House of Representatives (Ilaje/Ese-Odo Federal Constituency) between 2007 and 2011.

As good as Agboola is, his political followers since 2003 are still very faithful and loyal to him, No wonder his political courage in the sunshine state.

His majestic political move to the Dr. Olusegun Mimiko founded, Zenith Labour Party (ZLP) as he lost to Eyitayo Jegede of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP)during the party primaries was not a surprise to many political analysts, they understands that Agboola is building up to something historic in Nigeria politics.

His careful selection of a running mate Engr. Gboye, who is a former eight years Commissioner for works, a strong and undiluted believer of Iroko who hails from Ifedore Local Government, Central Senatorial District of the state is a pointer to the fact that Agboola’s third force really mean business.

Their chances at the Central Senatorial District are on the high side due to Mimiko’s political influence, Although one must not forget that Iroko lost the Senatorial election in 2019 to the PDP.

And also many in the state and beyond says Agbo is too desperate so he can’t secured their vote and support.

The chances of the incumbent Governor, Arakunrin Oluwarotimi Akeredolu of the All Progressives Congress(APC) are considered huge.

This is due to Governor Akeredolu’s laudable achievements in the last three and a half years.

That he has done well in road construction across the state, renovation of primary schools’ buildings, industrial revolution at Ore, Odigbo Local Government area and many other unprecedented projects.

It is worthy of note that in spite of Mr Governor’s performance, there are places that  had not felt the presence of his administration within the state.

And his selection of running mate, Aiyedatiwa Lucky from Ilaje Local Government area is considered strategic by many as the council area is known for huge number of votes during general elections.

It is a council area that comprises two state constituencies. The likely political crucible Arakunrin Oluwarotimi Akeredolu may face is the Workforce of the state, Most of them are afraid of the re-election of Mr. Governor as it has become the habit of many Governors toying with the payment of workers salaries and entitlements.

Many are counting their ordeals in the hands of the immediate past administration, they never see second term as a blessing but a curse.

Concurrently, the Governor is owing the workers August 2020 salaries and other allowances. My question is would the above stop the re election bid of Mr. Governor? To me, he has better chances.

Eyitayo Jegede, SAN is the candidate of the People’s Democratic Party, the main opposition political party before the third force of Agboola.

This is the second Eyitayo will be contesting to govern the sunshine state. He is from the Central Senatorial District which administered the state for eight years before Aketi, and he was the Commissioner for Justice and Attorney General of the state.

This is one of the salient points of campaign against Jegede’s candidacy as many political gladiators want the Northern Senatorial District to complete its eight years, which is Aketi who is from that district.

Jegede’s chances are believed to be very slim which is caused by the defection of Agbo and his supporters both old and new members of the PDP to the ZLP.

It would have greatly challenging to the incumbent Governor, If Ajayi remained in the PDP with his supporters or better still being Eyitayo Jegede’s running mate.

The People’s Democratic Party’s candidate is termed to be complacent and timid politically for rejecting Agbo as running mate. Many political analysts see him as someone who can only win part primaries but not general elections.

Another hindrance to Eyi’s political success come October 10 is the running mate, who is considered not popular even though he is currently a member of the House of Representatives, and the political rancor that happened in the process of the selection which made many party members aggrieved till now. 

The political dice is tossed in the sunshine state, the world is watching and expecting keenly where the political victory will fall upon come October 10, 2020.

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